Sunday, February 26, 2012

AUD/USD

Sell at 1.070  Target: Buy at 1.055

Tuesday, February 21, 2012

The Elasticity and Risk Premium of an Option Portfolio

The elasticity of a portfolio of call options can be expressed as
Ωportfolio = i=1nΣωiΩ i where Ω i is the elasticity of the ith call option and ωi is the percentage of the portfolio comprised of the ith call option.
The risk premium on the portfolio - where all call options are based on the same underlying asset - is
γ - r = Ωportfolio(α - r)
Meaning of variables:
γ = expected annual continuously compounded return on the option.
α = expected annual continuously compounded return on the underlying asset (most often a stock).
Ω = option elasticity.
r = annual continuously compounded risk-free interest rate.
Source: McDonald, R.L., Derivatives Markets (Second Edition), Addison Wesley, 2006, Ch. 12,
p. 395 

The delta-gamma approximation and A delta-hedged

market-maker sells assets or contracts to buyers and buys them from sellers. He is an intermediary between the buyers and sellers. A market-maker's function is in contrast toproprietary trading, which is "trading to express an investment strategy" (McDonald, p. 414).
delta-hedged position is a position designed to earn the risk-free rate of interest and is used to offset the risk of an option position.
The delta-gamma approximation is used to estimate option price movements if the underlying stock price changes.
The delta-gamma approximation for call options can be expressed via the following formula:
C(St+h) = C(St) + є∆(St) + (1/2)є2Γ(St)
For a put option, the same formula holds, but delta is now negative - so the put price will decrease if the stock price increases.
Meaning of variables:
St = stock price at time t.
St+h = stock price at time t+h.
C = call option price.
є = stock price change from time t to time t + h.
∆ = option delta.
Γ = option gamma.
Source: McDonald, R.L., Derivatives Markets (Second Edition), Addison Wesley, 2006, Ch. 13, pp. 413-425.

Put-call parity for European options

Put-call parity for European options with the same strike price and time to expiration is
Call - put = present value of (forward price - strike price)
Equation for put-call parity:
C(K, T) - P(K, T) = PV0,T(F0,T - K) = e-rT(F0,T - K)
Meaning of variables:
K = strike price of the options
T = time to expiration of the options
C(K, T) = price of a European call with strike price K and time to expiration T.
P(K, T) = price of a European put with strike price K and time to expiration T.
F0,T = forward price for the underlying asset.
PV0,T = the present value over the life of the options.
e-rT*F0,T = prepaid forward price for the asset.
e-rT*K= prepaid forward price for the strike.
r = the continuously compounded interest rate.
Source: McDonald, R.L., Derivatives Markets (Second Edition), Addison Wesley, 2006, Ch. 9, p. 282.

MFE question from SOA's Sample question

 Company A is a U.S. international company, and Company B is a Japanese local
company.  Company A is negotiating with Company B to sell its operation in
Tokyo to Company B.  The deal will be settled in Japanese yen.  To avoid a loss at
the time when the deal is closed due to a sudden devaluation of yen relative to
dollar, Company A has decided to buy at-the-money dollar-denominated yen put of
the European type to hedge this risk.
 You are given the following information:
(i) The deal will be closed 3 months from now.
(ii) The sale price of the Tokyo operation has been settled at 120 billion Japanese
yen.
(iii) The continuously compounded risk-free interest rate in the U.S. is 3.5%.
(iv) The continuously compounded risk-free interest rate in Japan is 1.5%.
(v) The current exchange rate is 1 U.S. dollar = 120 Japanese yen.
(vi) The natural logarithm of the yen per dollar exchange rate is an arithmetic
Brownian motion with daily volatility 0.261712%.
(vii)  1 year = 365 days; 3 months = ¼ year.
 Calculate Company A’s option cost.